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Italian Presidency Document (Beyond Debt Relief)

 

Table A.4 - Comparison between the effect of the market liberalization proposal estimated for a 'minimum common denominator' subset of poor countries* and the net ODA aid flow to LDCs for the major countries

($ million and % changes in parenthesis)

         
         
         

Impact on the major countries

Net ODA aid flow to LDCs in 1998 (percentage share of tot.)

Effect of market liberalization proposal

Effect on trade flows: changes in countries' imports from SSA

   

Changes in welfare

of which: changes in tariff revenues

         

United States

622

-236

-36

-350

 

(9%)

(0.00%)

(-0.17%)

(-27.5%)

 

 

 

 

 

European Union

4707

-581

-442

-1118

 

(70%)

(-0.01%)

(-1.33%)

(-8.93%)

 

 

 

 

 

Canada

208

34

-2

-36

 

(3%)

(0.01%)

(-0.06%)

(-23.38%)

 

 

 

 

 

Japan

1130

-5233

-8656

5020

 

(17%)

(-0.12%)

(-21.92%)

(739.34%)

       

 

Other OECD

101

36

-2

-59

 

(1%)

(0.00%)

(-0.01%)

(-29.68%)

MEMO

 

Changes in welfare

Changes in tariff revenue

Changes in total exports

         

Impact on the subset of SSA countries

1786

389

2543

   

(1.22%)

(6.79%)

(13.90%)

Impact on the other developing countries

294

1

-650,00

   

(0.01%)

(0.00%)

(-0,04%)

         

Source: Ianchovichina, Mattoo and Olarreaga (2000).

     

 

       

*The subset of poor countries includes 36 Sub-Saharan Africa countries that are either LDC or HIPC . 
For a list of the countries included see note D in table 1a-bis. The sample includes in addition Nigeria and Seychelles but excludes Angola, Malawi, Mozambique, Tanzania and Zambia due to data unavailability.

 


Source: Italy, Ministero degli Affari Esteri (all accessible at http://www.esteri.it/g8/docum.htm)

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